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The political drive to revive nuclear power is in full swing. Unveiling his
energy plan yesterday [May 17], President Bush said, “America should also expand
a clean and unlimited source of energy, nuclear power.” Vice President Cheney
says, “We must seriously question the wisdom of backing away from what is, as
a matter of record, a safe, clean and very plentiful energy source.” But why
conservatives are so in love with nuclear power is a mystery.
Aren’t conservatives supposed to be skeptical about having the federal government
pick winners and losers in the marketplace? Isn’t it best to leave such decisions
to investors, not politicians? If nuclear power is a better investment than
gas or coal-fired power, then no amount of government help is necessary. If
it’s not, then no amount of government help will make it so.
The Bush administration maintains that the only reason investors haven’t been
jumping at nuclear power is because the government has effectively shut down
the industry. Cheney, for instance, laments that “the government has not granted
a single new nuclear power permit in more than 20 years.” But there’s a reason
for that; no utility company has submitted an application for a nuclear power
permit in more than 20 years.
Investors have stayed away from nuclear power because nuclear-fired electricity
is about twice as expensive as coal or gas-fired electricity. The marginal costs
of nuclear are indeed lower, but the capital costs are much higher. For instance,
electricity costs skyrocketed by 60 percent between 1978 and 1982 largely because
of a wave of nuclear power plants that came online in the late 1970s.
Another reason investors have stayed away is because of the shift to competitive
generation markets. In the old regulatory world, public utility commissions
guaranteed quick returns on capital investments through the rate base. The more
capital you spent, the more you made, and a $1 billion nuclear power plant offered
a far better return than a $200 million coal-fired plant, regardless of total
costs. In a deregulated market, investors think long and hard about investing
in plants that might take decades to pay off under ideal conditions.
Proponents counter that nuclear power would be far less expensive were it not
for needlessly burdensome safety and maintenance regulations. While you can
certainly make a strong case for that, it’s unclear whether government has really
harmed nuclear power more than it has helped.
The administration should recall that the Atomic Energy Commission [now the
Nuclear Regulatory Commission], beginning in 1957, directly subsidized the construction
of reactors by private utilities. A year later, the “Euroatom” program was adopted,
which gave federal subsidies to NATO allies to purchase American light-water
reactor technology.
Here at home, the federal government took responsibility for the supply and
enrichment of uranium but failed to charge nuclear power plants anything for
the capital or inventory costs of the program. And just since the establishment
of the Department of Energy in 1978, more than $20 billion of taxpayer money
has been spent on nuclear power research and development.
Then there’s the grand daddy of all subsidies, the federal assumption of high-level
radioactive waste-disposal responsibilities. If the feds had stayed out of this
and simply required the industry to secure its own waste disposal through private
arrangements, who doubts that the construction costs for such facilities and,
more important, the liability costs would greatly exceed the fees the industry
currently pays the federal government? In fact, it’s extremely doubtful that
the industry could insure itself against the possibility of accidents in waste
disposal facilities, which could remain highly radioactive for thousands of
years.
Perhaps new advances in technology will remedy the environmental and economic
problems that plague the industry. If so, fine. Investors will respond with
orders for new nukes and we’ll have no complaint. But in the meantime, the feds
shouldn’t try to ram this technology down the market’s throat.
In the final analysis, the nuclear industry is purely a creature of government.
The administration needs to practice the free-market rhetoric that it preaches
and put away its nuclear pompoms.
Jerry Taylor is director of the Cato Institute’s natural
resource studies; Peter Van Doren is editor of Regulation..
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